基于因果-模糊层次分析的湿法脱硫系统运行稳定性综合评价

doi:10.16085/j.issn.1000-6613.2021-0107

摘要/Abstract

摘要：

石灰石膏法烟气脱硫技术作为一种传统的湿法脱硫技术，具有脱硫效率高、吸收剂易得等特点，在燃煤电厂和钢铁冶金等行业的烟气脱硫中得以广泛应用。但在系统运行中存在诸多模糊不确定性，为了能够对石灰石膏法脱硫系统稳定性进行综合评价，根据项目的技术特点和运营状况，本文从工艺、设备、电气、仪表自动化、公辅和运维六个方面进行调查，查找导致系统运行失稳的各种因素和制约条件。采用因果-模糊层次分析法对导致石灰石膏法脱硫系统运行失稳的原因进行分析，建立系统运行状况模糊评价模型，对各种影响因素进行权重计算和模糊综合评价，得出权重排序、综合评分和评价等级。结合莱芜钢铁265m²烧结烟气脱硫案例，将项目运行失稳的影响因素分为6类24项，将评价等级分为“很稳定”“比较稳定”“基本稳定”“欠稳定”“不稳定”5个等级。通过对案例的分析、评价以及与现场检测对比得到：①各影响因素的权重排序为电气故障＞仪表自动化失准＞工艺指标异常＞设备故障＞公辅供应失稳＞日常运维管理；②案例项目的综合评分为77.75，评价等级为“基本稳定/三级”；③采用因果-模糊层次分析法的综合评价结果与现场监测结果相符，说明采用该方法对石灰石膏法脱硫系统稳定性评价具有良好的适用性。

关键词: 脱硫系统, 稳定性, 综合评价, 因果分析法, 层次分析法, 模糊理论

Abstract:

Because of its mature technology, lime gypsum flue gas desulfurization has been widely used in coal-fired power plants, iron and steel metallurgy and other industries. The technology has the characteristics of high removal efficiency and easy to buy absorbent. However, there are many fuzzy uncertainties in the daily operation of desulfurization system. In order to make a better comprehensive evaluation of the system operation stability, the influencing factors were analyzed through three steps, and the final conclusion was obtained. First of all, according to the technical characteristics and operation status of the project, the investigation was carried out from six aspects of process, equipment, electrical, instrument automation, public and auxiliary and operation and maintenance, and various factors and constraints leading to the instability of the system operation were found. Secondly, the cause and effect fuzzy analytic hierarchy process was used to analyze the reasons leading to the instability of lime gypsum desulfurization system, and the fuzzy evaluation model of system operation was established. The weight calculation and fuzzy comprehensive evaluation of various influencing factors were carried out, and the weight order, comprehensive score and evaluation grade were obtained. Thirdly, combined with the case of sintering machine flue gas desulfurization, the influencing factors of project operation instability were divided into 6 categories and 24 sub items, and the evaluation level was divided into very stable, relatively stable, basically stable, less stable and unstable. Finally, through the case analysis, evaluation and comparison with the on-site detection, the following three conclusions were obtained. ①The weight order of each influencing factor was obtained as follows: electrical failure, instrument automation inaccuracy, abnormal process index, equipment failure, public and auxiliary supply instability, daily operation and maintenance management. ②The comprehensive score of the case project was 77.75, and the evaluation level was determined as level 3-basically stable. ③After comparing the comprehensive evaluation results of causal fuzzy analytic hierarchy process with the field monitoring results, it was determined that the two results were consistent, which showed that the method had good applicability for the stability evaluation of lime gypsum desulfurization system.

Key words: desulfurization system, stability, comprehensive evaluation, causal analysis method, analytic hierarchy process, fuzzy theory

中图分类号:

X701.3

侯建勇, 严芳, 王浩, 程晓辉, 严厚华, 胡刚. 基于因果-模糊层次分析的湿法脱硫系统运行稳定性综合评价[J]. 化工进展, 2022, 41(2): 569-583.

HOU Jianyong, YAN Fang, WANG Hao, CHENG Xiaohui, YAN Houhua, HU Gang. Comprehensive evaluation of operation stability of wet desulfurization system based on causal-fuzzy AHP[J]. Chemical Industry and Engineering Progress, 2022, 41(2): 569-583.

图/表 2

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