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2012年我国石油化工行业进展及展望

洪 定 一   

  1. 中国化工学会,北京 100029
  • 出版日期:2013-03-05 发布日期:2013-03-05

Progress of China’s petrochemical industry in 2012 and outlook for 2013

HONG Dingyi   

  1. Chemical Industry and Engineering Society of China,Beijing 100029,China
  • Online:2013-03-05 Published:2013-03-05

摘要: 综述了我国石化行业2012年在高油价和经济减速条件下取得的一系列进展。一是石化产业全年运行缓中趋稳,产值、产量和效益均有增长,但增幅同比下落。二是建设世界一流石化产业,原油加工量和乙烯产量继续保持世界第二,化学品生产总量可与美国比伯仲,合成树脂生产位列前茅,合成橡胶生产位列世界之首。三是产业转型与升级,现代煤化工顺利融入石油化工生产体系,石化介入生物质化工成功试产生物航空煤油,石化产品高端化升级取得新进展。四是石化技术进步,采用自主产权的技术建成一批工业化装置,包括柴油液相循环加氢装置、生产欧Ⅴ汽油的新一代S-Zorb装置、80万吨/年大乙烯装置、S-MTO装置、FCC再生烟气SCR脱硝装置等;自主开发的超重油轻质化技术、百万吨级芳烃联合装置技术、合成气制乙二醇成套技术已具备工业化条件,沸腾床重质渣油加氢等技术进入工业验证阶段,一批专用化学品和化工新材料在内的石化产品差异化生产技术正在加紧攻关。文章总结了高油价和低增速条件下中国特色石化运行模式所起的作用,包括炼油高油价下坚持降本增效,资源分配“保、压”得当;化工把控在役石化产能与调节产品结构,积极实施差异化战略来应对市场需求不振和同质化竞争。同时,也对2012年存在的问题进行了思考。分析了2013年情况,进入2013年,随着世界经济形势逐步向好,国际油价走势受美国经济数据提振保持高位振荡,我国宏观经济预计继续保持稳健发展,国内化工市场需求总体回暖,我国炼油产业预计仍处于景气周期。对2013年我国石化行业总体运行提出了趋稳向好的较乐观展望,同时预期在加快汽柴油质量升级、石化产品高端化升级、推进化工原料的煤炭替代、创建“煤油化”一体化新模式、加速向能源化工产业转型和建设世界一流石化建设等方面取得实质性的新进展。

关键词: 石油化工行业, 产业转型与升级, 技术进步

Abstract: The progress of China’s petrochemical industry under the conditions of high crude oil price and slowdown in economy in 2012 was summarized. Firstly,the running of petrochemical industry was slow but turning to smooth and steady;production output and value and gross profit were all increasing,but compared to the last year,the pace was slower. Secondly,in building a world-class petrochemical industry,crude oil processing volume,ethylene production output maintained the world second,chemical production compared with USA was roughly the same,synthetic resin production was in the forefront,synthetic rubber production ranked the first in the world. Thirdly,about the transformation and upgrading of petrochemical industry,modern coal chemical industry was smoothly integrated into petrochemical production system;petrochemical industry was involved in biomass utilization,and succeeded in trial production of aviation kerosene from biomass;a new progress was made in upgrading to high-end products. And finally,about technical progress,a batch of industrial units were built using proprietary technology,including two sets of diesel liquid phase circulation hydrogenation units in Shijiazhuang refinery and Jiujiang refinery,a new generation of S-Zorb unit for producing EU Ⅴ grade gasoline,800 kt/a ethylene cracking plant in Wuhan,S-MTO coal to olefin unit,FCC regeneration flue gas SCR denitrification unit in Zhenhai;a batch of technologies independently developed,including conversion of super heavy oil to light fractions,megaton per year integrated aromatics unit and syn-gas to ethylene glycol synthesis were ready for commercialization;the ebullated bed heavy residual oil hydrogenation technology was being commercial-scale verified;research on production differentiation technology was stepping up aiming at a number of special chemicals and new chemical materials. The petrochemical operation mode with Chinese characteristics under high crude oil price and low economy growth conditions was also emphasized,including refinery to adhere to cost reduction and resource allocation in a reasonable and optimized way;chemical sector to control in-service petrochemical production capacity and to adjust product mix,and actively implement differentiation strategy to cope with market demand. At the same time,some problems at a potential or deeper level in 2012 were also commented. Based on analysis of the situation in 2013,some better running conditions for petrochemical industry were noticed,such as gradual improvement of world economy,high level fluctuation of international oil price boosted by US economic data,China’s macro economy to maintain steady running,warming up of domestic chemical market,it is expected that firstly,China’s oil refining industry will continue to be in the booming business cycle,overall operation of China’s petrochemical industry in 2013 will keep stabilized,and have a more optimistic outlook;secondly,upgrading of gasoline and diesel quality and upgrading to high-end petrochemical products will be speed up;thirdly,substitution of raw material for chemicals by coal,and creation of a new pattern of integration of coal,oil,chemical will be promoted;finally,transition of traditional petrochemical industry to energy & chemical industry will be accelerated,and a new substantive progress will be made in the building of a world-class petrochemical industry.

Key words: petrochemical industry, transformation and upgrading of the petrochemical industrial, technology progress

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